{"id":477,"date":"2009-08-26T15:28:27","date_gmt":"2009-08-26T15:28:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.malik-management.com\/?p=477"},"modified":"2009-08-26T15:28:27","modified_gmt":"2009-08-26T15:28:27","slug":"okonomisches-kaffeesatzlesen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.malik-management.com\/de\/okonomisches-kaffeesatzlesen\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6konomisches Kaffeesatzlesen"},"content":{"rendered":"

Der Direktor des Business Cycle Research Institutes (ECRI) hat letzte Woche\u00a0 via Reuters vermeldet, dass er f\u00fcr die USA eine st\u00e4rkere Erholung erwarte, als sie seit 1980 je vorgekommen sei. Und FED-Chef Bernanke meint, \u201e.. the economy could grow soon .. \u201c
\nSeltsam, dass vor einem Jahr der Direktor von ECRI zwar nichts von der drohenden Krise voraussagte, jetzt aber klug genug zu sein scheint, um die Zukunft zu prognostizieren. Warum sollte man ihm jetzt glauben? Warum sollte man \u00d6konomen \u00fcberhaupt noch zuh\u00f6ren?
\nIm Januar 2008, als die Konjunkturprognosen der herk\u00f6mmlichen \u00d6konomie noch rosig waren, schrieb ich im Vorwort meines monatlichen Management Letters:
\n\u201eDie Wahrscheinlichkeit ist hoch, dass 2008 zu einem Jahr kategorialen Wandels wird. Nur wenige Unternehmen werden daran vorbeikommen, Grundfragen ihres Funktionierens neu zu beantworten. <\/em>
\nZum einen erzwingt die aktuelle Finanzkrise ein Durchdenken der Grundlagen des Wirtschaftens. Der Abschreibungsbedarf f\u00fcr sogenannte \u201eSuprime Loans\u201c – eine h\u00fcbsche Verniedlichung – wird nicht an den Banken haltmachen.
\nZum zweiten wird sich deutlicher als bisher zeigen, welche radikalen Ver\u00e4nderungen die Schl\u00fcsselressource der heutigen Gesellschaft, n\u00e4mlich Wissen, mit sich bringt.
\nUnd zum dritten wird klar werden, dass die Grundgesetze des Funktionierens von komplexen Systemen ganz andere sind, als die des Funktionierens einfacher Systeme. \u201e<\/em>
\nGenau\u00a0 so ist es gekommen. Selbst im Juni 2008 haben Konjunkturforscher noch ein Wachstum\u00a0 von\u00a0zwei bis drei Prozent\u00a0f\u00fcr den deutschsprachigen Wirtschaftsraum vorhergesagt. Kaffesatz damals\u00a0 – Kaffesatz heute?
\nTop Management Agenda 2008 <\/a>(m.o.m.-Letter)
\nm.o.m.-Letter Januar 2008<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Der Direktor des Business Cycle Research Institutes (ECRI) hat letzte Woche\u00a0 via Reuters vermeldet, dass er f\u00fcr die USA eine st\u00e4rkere Erholung erwarte, als sie seit 1980 je vorgekommen sei. Und FED-Chef Bernanke meint, \u201e.. the economy could grow soon .. \u201c Seltsam, dass vor einem Jahr der Direktor von ECRI zwar nichts von der drohenden Krise voraussagte, jetzt aber […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[141],"tags":[237,268,312],"class_list":["post-477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-kategorie-allgemein","tag-konjunkturprognosen","tag-okonomen","tag-usa"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u00d6konomisches Kaffeesatzlesen - Malik Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.malik-management.com\/de\/okonomisches-kaffeesatzlesen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00d6konomisches Kaffeesatzlesen - Malik Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Der Direktor des Business Cycle Research Institutes (ECRI) hat letzte Woche\u00a0 via Reuters vermeldet, dass er f\u00fcr die USA eine st\u00e4rkere Erholung erwarte, als sie seit 1980 je vorgekommen sei. 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